Tony Mounce

First Home Buyers in 2026 -
Don’t buy what the Bank says
you can’t afford.

The No.1 Mortgage Coach.
Coaching Secrets.

One of the biggest misunderstandings first home buyers have is thinking the bank assesses them at the interest rate they will actually be paying. They don’t.

Even if your mortgage rate is sitting around 5%, the bank is often testing your application at something much higher - often 8% or 9% or more - to ensure you could still afford the repayments if rates rise in the future. Which as we know, they often do.

That’s why so many buyers become despondent. They see a repayment online, think they can comfortably manage it, then wonder why the bank won’t approve the amount they expected.

But here’s the thing: understanding how banks assess lending can completely change the way you approach buying your first home. The good news for first home buyers in 2026 is that the market is far more balanced than it was during the last few 'frenzy' years. Prices have corrected significantly from the 2021 peak, mortgage rates are lower than they were two years ago, and buyers finally have time to negotiate again.

That creates opportunity - especially for buyers prepared to think strategically.

I often tell clients not to simply buy the nicest house they can afford. Instead, think about future leverage and income potential. Could the property have a sleepout, granny flat, or room rental potential? Could you invite someone board with you to help with servicing the mortgage?

Could you buy in an area where there is likely future growth and infrastructure spending that will improve property values over time?

These are the questions the investors I work with ask. First home buyers should ask them too. The smartest first home buyers are already thinking one property ahead. Because once you build equity in your first home, that equity can eventually help fund a second purchase - potentially an investment property. That’s how many successful portfolios begin in New Zealand. Not with five houses. Just with buying the right first one.

To

The other key lesson is not to stretch yourself to the absolute maximum. Banks may approve a big number, but that doesn’t mean you should spend all of it. You still need room for rising insurance costs, rates increases, maintenance, and life in general.

At the moment I’m still favouring shorter fixed terms for many borrowers because the longer term margins don’t yet justify locking in too far ahead. Some banks are becoming very competitive again, especially around cash contributions and short-term specials, and borrowers should absolutely use that competition to their advantage.

2026 is not a “fear of missing out” market.

It’s a “buy smart” market.

And for first home buyers willing to understand how lending really works, this may be one of the best windows we’ve seen in years to finally get onto the property ladder.

Come and see my team if you want your next property investment funding with multiple options and great partnerships.

Cantebury

"If Tony Mounce can't get
you a Mortgage - no one can"

Nicola V.
Canterbury Client

Building a Property Portfolio in
2026 - Why Strategy matters
more than ever

The No.1 Mortgage Coach.
Coaching Secrets.

If there’s one thing I’ve learnt over the years in the mortgage market, it’s that property investment is never just about buying houses. It’s about understanding finance, timing, structure, and cashflow. In 2026, this matters more than ever.

We are no longer in the “buy anything and it goes up” market. Those days are one for the foreeable future. Sure, in some locations and markets, property will continue to increase in value steadily, but taking a look at the rest of the country currently and you will see what I mean. What we have now is a much more balanced environment where good investors can still do exceptionally well - but only if they truly understand how the banks and interest rates really work.

As you should be aware, the Official Cash Rate is sitting in the low 2's - but the interesting part is what’s happening underneath the surface. Swap rates have been falling steadily, yet some banks have tried to push rates up anyway. That’s why I’ve been saying recently that borrowers need to pay attention not just to the OCR, but to what lenders are actually doing with their margins.

One of the things I’ve talked about over the last month is how one of our major banks lifted rates despite swap rates dropping. Meanwhile another stayed highly competitive and our government owned bank introduced short-term specials. That tells me the banks themselves are uncertain about where the market heads next. When banks disagree with each other, opportunities appear for investors who are prepared.

The New Zealand housing market itself is also stabilising. We’re seeing clearance rates improve, more bidders at auctions, and Canterbury in particular has shown pockets of growth while much of the country remains relatively flat. Most economists are forecasting modest growth of around 3-5% through 2026, which is actually healthy. Property investment works best in steady markets, not speculative ones.

For investors, leverage remains the key. The Reserve Bank still requires around a 35% deposit for investment lending, but many experienced investors know how to use equity from existing homes and other simple methods to fund deposits rather than relying on cash savings alone.

t

The biggest mistake I see is investors focusing only on the interest rate instead of the structure. A properly structured portfolio can outperform a cheaper interest rate every day of the week. Split lending, staggered fixed terms, offset accounts, and avoiding cross-collateralisation are the things that create long-term flexibility.

I still favour one-year terms or split structures right now because the margins between short and long-term rates simply don’t justify locking in for extended periods unless the market changes significantly. But I mostly recommend coming for a chat with one of our star team, they can take a detailed look at your unique position (no two clients are the same) and work out a tailored solution that can work for you and your family. It's what I call Priceless Experience and Advice.

The reality is this: in 2026, successful property investors won’t necessarily be the people buying the most property. They’ll be the people who understand debt the best.

And in this market, a good finance strategy is the best investment strategy.

No.1 Coach of a great local team.

The No.1 Mortgage CoachTraining the greatest team:

PRICELESS
No.1 Coach branded truck in stadium